Saturday, January 5, 2008

Wild Card Round Picks

Playoff Picks: (Home teams in caps)
I’m going to do this week a little differently…mostly because what I’ve been doing so far this year hasn’t been working. I mean, has anyone ever gone 0-16 betting on a single team? Well if not, I’m happy to be the first. But now it’s the playoffs. I’m turning it around starting today, so don’t go betting against me. Ok, that might be the beer talking.

Barstool Quarterback Aggregate Positional Rankings will be in order of:
Offense Rank + Defense Rank + Special Teams + Coaching = Total (Rank)

Redskins (+3.5) over SEAHAWKS:
The Seahawks are a soft team. The O-line doesn’t impress me, Shaun Alexander apparently switched souls with Ron Dayne over the offseason, and the receivers can’t stay healthy. It looks like Deion Branch will be out… again. The Skins on the other hand are white hot winning four straight behind Todd Collins, the Pride of Walpole, Massachusetts. Greg Williams has a beat up defense playing like madmen, and Joe Gibbs is reminding us of why he’s the only guy who’s won three Super Bowls with three different quarterbacks. The Skins aren’t just going to cover, I’m taking them straight up.
BSQ APR:
Redskins: 12+7+10+3=32 (T8)
SEAHAWKS: 10+5+5+4=24 (5)

Jaguars (-2) over STEELERS:
I’m a little surprised that this line is so small. Didn’t the Jags just win this game while Willie Parker was still on the field? I’d have thought this line would be more like 5 or 6 points in favor of the Jags. I get a little worried in times like this that Vegas knows something I don’t, but I just haven’t seen anything to make me think the Steelers are going to keep this within a field goal.
BSQ APR:
Jaguars: 5+10+8+8=31 (7)
STEELERS: 8+7+11+10=36 (10)

BUCCANEERS (-2.5) over Giants:
Seeing the two worst teams in the playoffs square off could actually be a lot of fun. In the pre-season, there’s no way you saw the Bucs in the playoffs, let alone hosting a game. On the other hand, is there any quarterback you want less than Eli Manning knowing you have to win three straight road games? Is there any coach (non-Norv Turner Division) who you’d want less than Tom Coughlin? It’s like the Perfect Storm of Suck which I think was the working title of the new Rambo movie. Whose idea was that? Has Sly just given up? I mean I guess his career has come full circle. Start with Rocky and Rambo, end with Rocky 6 and Rambo 4. What’s next a couple years of soft core porn (shudder) and then start wearing diapers? Actually given Stallone’s age that last part isn’t out of the question… what was I talking about? Oh yeah, by the end of this game, the over/under on Giants defensive linemen trying to kill Coughlin and/or Manning is 2.5.
BSQ APR:
BUCCANEERS: 12+10+9+7=38 (11)
Giants: 8+9+12+11=40 (12)

Titans (+9) over CHARGERS:
Let me be perfectly clear, the Chargers will win, but nine points is a lot to cover for a Norv Turner led team. If Vince Young can’t go, the Titans have pretty much nothing going on at their offensive or defensive skill positions, and if he can go, it’s pretty much a death knell for the Titans hopes of a passing game. If the Chargers throw the ball more than 7 times in the first half, we should all be treated to Norv Turner being strapped to the bench and whipped by LDT in lieu of a halftime show.
BSQ APR:
Titans: 11+8+7+6=32 (T8)
CHARGERS: 4+4+4+12=24 (5)

Divisional Round Picks (Straight up)
PATRIOTS over Jags
COLTS over Chargers
PACKERS over Buccaneers
DALLAS over Redskins (although I'm not sold on this pick yet, stay tuned)

Championship Round Picks (Straight up)
PATRIOTS over Colts
Packers over COWBOYS

Super Bowl (Straight up)
Patriots over Packers

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