Monday, March 24, 2008

Fantasy Pitcher Rankings:

Fantasy Pitcher Rankings:

Time for my annual fantasy rankings. I’ll be posting one position per day as well as giving draft advice. My method is proven, having won my head to head fantasy league 3 straight years before teaching my fiancĂ© how to play last season only to have her use my rankings against me and take the Championship. This year I’ll look to rebound from last year’s disappointing 2nd place finish.

Pitching is by far the deepest and most volatile of all the positions. You should never reach to draft a pitcher because there is bound to be another guy almost as good available next round. I’ll usually take a stud ace with a proven record in the first 4-5 rounds. Brandon Webb and Eric Bedard are the kind of guy you can get in the fourth or fifth round and while they aren’t as hyped as CC Sabathia, Josh Beckett or Johan Santana, you can usually get them a round or two later and use those earlier picks on studs at positions with less depth. I like to fill my lineup before I take my fourth pitcher. I’ll try to get two high-value starting pitchers and a solid, if lesser name, closer. You should have three or four guys from the list below filling out the front of your rotation:

Name, Team

Remarks (# games)

Johan Santana, NYM

+W, !K, +ERA, !WHIP

Jake Peavy, SD

+PARK, !W, !K, !ERA, !WHIP

Brandon Webb, ARI

!W, +K, !ERA, +WHIP

Josh Beckett, BOS

!W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Erik Bedard, SEA

!K, +ERA, !WHIP

CC Sabathia, CLE

!W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Cole Hamels, PHI

-PARK, +W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Dan Haren, ARI

+W, +K, !ERA

Aaron Harang, CIN

-PARK, +W, !K, +WHIP

John Lackey, LAA

!W, +K, !ERA

Justin Verlander, DET

!W, +K

John Smoltz, ATL

+K, +ERA, +WHIP

Scott Kazmir, TB

!K

Roy Oswalt, HOU

+ERA,

Carlos Zambrano, CHC

+W, +K,

Felix Hernandez, SEA

Javier Vazquez, CWS

+W, !K, +WHIP

Chris Young, SD

+PARK, +ERA, !WHIP (17)

Daisuke Matsuzaka, BOS

+W, +K

Roy Halladay, TOR

+W

Fausto Carmona, CLE

!W, !ERA,

Yovani Gallardo, MIL

-K (14)

Kelvim Escobar, LAA

!W, +ERA

AJ Burnett, TOR

MED, +K, +WHIP

Tim Lincecum, SF

+PARK, -W, (12)

Rich Hill, CHC

+K, +WHIP

Brett Myers, PHI

-PARK, -W, -K (12)

James Shields, TB

+K, +WHIP

Pedro Martinez, NYM

MED, -W, -K, !ERA (4)

John Maine, NYM

+W, +K

Matt Cain, SF

+PARK, -W

Ben Sheets, MIL

-K

Brad Penny, LAD

+W, !ERA

Chad Billingsley, LAD

+ERA

Ted Lilly, CHC

+W, +K, +WHIP

Tim Hudson, ATL

+W,

Chien-Ming Wang, NYY

!W, -K

Jeff Francis, COL

-PARK, !W

Adam Wainwright, StL

Jered Weaver, LAA

Dustin McGowan, TOR

Francisco Liriano, MIN

MED, +PARK, No Stats in 2007

Ian Snell, PIT

+K

Jeremy Bonderman, DET

-ERA

Derek Lowe, LAD

Phil Hughes, NYY

-W, -K, (8)

Clay Buchholz, BOS

-W, -K, !ERA, !WHIP (4)

The rest of your rotation should primarily come from this list, but realize that even in Fantasy, back of the rotation guys are a crapshoot, so don’t reach.

Oliver Perez, NYM

Jon Garland, LAA

Carlos Villanueva, MIL

Kenny Rogers, DET

Mike Mussina, NYY

Ervin Santana, LAA

Dontrelle Willis, FLA

Chris Capuano, MIL

Andy Pettitte, NYY

Rich Harden, OAK

Bronson Arroyon, CIN

Barry Zito, SF

Randy Johnson, ARI

Freddy Garcia, PHI

Dave Bush, MIL

Josh Johnson, FLA

Chuck James, ATL

Jose Contreras, CHW

Nate Robertson, DET

Greg Maddux, SD

Jason Schmidt, LAD

Anibal Sanchez, FLA

Scott Olsen, FLA

Kevin Millwood, TEX

John Patterson, WAS

Jeff Suppan, MIL

Daniel Cabrera, BAL

Joe Blanton, OAK

Jason Jennings, HOU

Jake Westbrook, CLE

Cliff Lee, CLE

Zach Duke, PIT

Homer Bailey, CIN

Jon Lester, BOS

Tim Wakefield, BOS

Matt Garza, TB

Gil Meche, KC

As for closers, if you’re going to punt any statistical category in your draft, punt saves. You can always find closers on the waiver wire during the season and unless you have a stud, they’ll do just as well as a draft pick in the late teen rounds. Here are the studs:

Name, Team

Remarks

Jonathan Papelbon, BOS

+SV, +K, +ERA, !WHIP

JJ Putz, SEA

!SV, +K, !ERA, !WHIP

Joe Nathan, MIN

+PARK, +SV, +ERA, !WHIP

Francisco Rodrigues, LAA

!SV, +K

Takashi Saito, LAD

+SV, !ERA, !WHIP

Billy Wagner, NYM

+K, +WHIP

Mariano Rivera, NYY

-ERA, +WHIP

Bobby Jenks, CWS

!SV, -K, !WHIP

Francisco Cordero, CIN

-PARK, !SV, +K, +WHIP

Jose Valverde, HOU

!SV, +WHIP

Huston Street, OAK

!WHIP

Brad Lidge, PHI

-PARK, +K, -ERA

Matt Capps, PIT

!WHIP

Trevor Hoffman, SD

-PARK, !SV, -K, +WHIP

Manny Corpas, COL

-PARK, -K, +ERA, !WHIP

Joakim Soria, KC

!WHIP

Rafael Soriano, ATL

-SV, -ERA, !WHIP

Jason Isringhausen, StL

-K, !WHIP

Chad Cordero, WAS

+SV, -ERA,

Brett Myers, PHI

-PARK, +K, -ERA

Carlos Marmol, ChC

-SV, !K, !ERA, !WHIP

Kevin Gregg, FLA

+K, -ERA

Joe Borowski, CLE

!SV, -K, -ERA,

Eric Gagne, MIL

-K, -ERA, !WHIP

Chad Billingsley, LAD

-SV, +K, -ERA

Todd Jones, DET

+SV, -K, -ERA

In the keys below, some notes:

+/- PARK means different things to different folks. In the pitcher lists, +PARK is one of the top 3 pitchers parks For position players, +PARK is one of the top 3 hitters parks. Anyone with a ! can carry your team for a week or two in that category. –BA should be seen as the kiss of death. These guys are not starters for a contending fantasy team. You’re better off taking a flier on a rookie than drafting one of these siphons. Also note the difference between keys when dealing with Starters versus Relievers.

KEY

Numbers based on last years stats

MED

History of medical issues or coming off injury

+PARK

Park is a serious advantage (top 3)

-PARK

Park is a serious disadvantage (bottom 3)

For SP, the Key will be:

- + !

W <8 >15 >17

SV NA

K <110 >170 >210

ERA >4.60 <3.40 <3.10

WHIP >1.50 <1.20 <1.10

For RP, the Key will be:

- + !

W NA

SV <10 >35 >40

K <60 >80 >95

ERA >3.00 <2.15 <1.50

WHIP >1.50 <1.20 <1.10

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Fantasy Outfield Rankings:

Fantasy Outfield Rankings:

Time for my annual fantasy rankings. I’ll be posting one position per day as well as giving draft advice. My method is proven, having won my head to head fantasy league 3 straight years before teaching my fiancĂ© how to play last season only to have her use my rankings against me and take the Championship. This year I’ll look to rebound from last year’s disappointing 2nd place finish.

Matt Holiday is the only legit first rounder from the outfield ranks. The position is still deep, so you should be able to fill all three OF positions between the third and eighth round without reaching. There’s a lot of speed and power available here if you miss out on guys like Hanley Ramirez and Jose Reyes or Ryan Howard and David Ortiz.

Name, Team

Remarks (# games)

Other

Matt Holiday, COL

+PARK, !BA, +HR,

!RBI, !R

Carl Crawford, TB

!SB, +BA,

Alfonso Soriano, ChC

+SB, +HR

Ichiro Suzuki, SEA

!SB, !BA, !R

Grady Sizemore, CLE

+SB, !R

Carlos Beltran, NYM

+SB, +RBI

Vlad Guerrero, LAA

MED, !RBI

Carlos Lee, HOU

+R

Chone Figgins, LAA

!BS, !BA, -HR,

2B, 3B

Curtis Granderson, DET

+BS, !R

Magglio Ordonez, DET

!BA, !RBI, !R

Alex Rios, TOR

+BS, !R

Bobby Abreu, NYY

+SB, +RBI, !R

BJ Upton, TB

2B

Lance Berkman, HOU

1B

Nick Markakis, BAL

+BS, +RBI

Eric Byrnes, ARI

!SB, +R

Torii Hunter, LAA

+SB, +RBI

Manny Ramierez, BOS

Hunter Pence, HOU

Chris Young, ARI

Adam Dunn, CIN

+PARK, !HR, +RBI,

+R

Corey Hart, MIL

+SB

Vernon Wells, TOR

-BA

Delmon Young, MIN

Gary Sheffield, DET

+BS, +R

Brad Hawpe, COL

Shane Victorino, PHI

Hideki Matsui, NYY

+RBI, +R

Jason Bay, PIT

-BA

Matt Kemp, LAD

Jermaine Dye, CWS

Jeff Francoeur, ATL

+R

Johnny Damon, NYY

+SB

Juan Pierre, LAD

!SB, -HR, -RBI

Andrew Jones, LAD

Willy Taveras, COL

+PARK, +BS, +BA,

-HR, -RBI (97)

Aaron Rowand, SF

-PARK, +BA, +R

Raul Ibanez, SEA

+RBI

Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS

Nick Swisher, CWS

1B

Pat Burrell, PHI

+PARK, +HR

Ken Griffey Jr, CIN

+PARK, +HR

Kosuke Fukudome, ChC

Michael Cuddyer, MIN

Josh Fields, CWS

Ryan Church, NYM

Ryan Freel, CIN

+PARK, +BS, -BA,

-HR, RBI, -R (75)

Matt Diaz, ATL

Ryan Doumit, PIT

Other guys worth keeping an eye on:

JD Drew, BOS

Austin Kearns, WAS

Coco Crisp, BOS

Mark Kotsay, OAK

Corey Patterson, BAL

Mike Cameron, SD

Gary Matthews, Jr. LAA

Reed Johnson, TOR

Dave Roberts, SF

Josh Willingham, FLA

Juan Rivera, LAA

Moises Alou, NYM

Brain Giles, SD

Milton Bradley, OAK

Jim Edmonds, STL

Jeremy Hermida, FLA

Xavier Nady, PIT

Carlos Quentin, ARI

Jacque Jones, DET

Luis Gonzales, LAD

Chris Duncan, STL

Garret Anderson, LAA

Casey Blake, CLE

Kenny Lofton, FA

Juan Encarnacion, STL

Geoff Jenkins, MIL

David DeJesus, KC

Willy Mo Pena, WAS

Randy Winn, SF

In the key below, some notes:
+/- PARK means different things to different folks. In the pitcher lists, +PARK is one of the top 3 pitchers parks For position players, +PARK is one of the top 3 hitters parks. Anyone with a ! can carry your team for a week or two in that category. –BA should be seen as the kiss of death. These guys are not starters for a contending fantasy team. You’re better off taking a flier on a rookie than drafting one of these siphons.

KEY

Numbers based on last years stats

MED

History of medical issues or coming off injury

+PARK

Park is a serious advantage (top 3)

-PARK

Park is a serious disadvantage (bottom 3)

!HR

>37 HR

+HR

>30 HR

-HR

<10>

!RBI

>120 RBI

+RBI

>100 RBI

-RBI

<50>

!BA

>.330

+BA

>.305

-BA

<.250

!R

>110 R

+R

>100 R

-R

<55>

!SB

>35 SB

+SB

>15 SB