Monday, March 24, 2008

Fantasy Pitcher Rankings:

Fantasy Pitcher Rankings:

Time for my annual fantasy rankings. I’ll be posting one position per day as well as giving draft advice. My method is proven, having won my head to head fantasy league 3 straight years before teaching my fiancé how to play last season only to have her use my rankings against me and take the Championship. This year I’ll look to rebound from last year’s disappointing 2nd place finish.

Pitching is by far the deepest and most volatile of all the positions. You should never reach to draft a pitcher because there is bound to be another guy almost as good available next round. I’ll usually take a stud ace with a proven record in the first 4-5 rounds. Brandon Webb and Eric Bedard are the kind of guy you can get in the fourth or fifth round and while they aren’t as hyped as CC Sabathia, Josh Beckett or Johan Santana, you can usually get them a round or two later and use those earlier picks on studs at positions with less depth. I like to fill my lineup before I take my fourth pitcher. I’ll try to get two high-value starting pitchers and a solid, if lesser name, closer. You should have three or four guys from the list below filling out the front of your rotation:

Name, Team

Remarks (# games)

Johan Santana, NYM

+W, !K, +ERA, !WHIP

Jake Peavy, SD

+PARK, !W, !K, !ERA, !WHIP

Brandon Webb, ARI

!W, +K, !ERA, +WHIP

Josh Beckett, BOS

!W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Erik Bedard, SEA

!K, +ERA, !WHIP

CC Sabathia, CLE

!W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Cole Hamels, PHI

-PARK, +W, +K, +ERA, +WHIP

Dan Haren, ARI

+W, +K, !ERA

Aaron Harang, CIN

-PARK, +W, !K, +WHIP

John Lackey, LAA

!W, +K, !ERA

Justin Verlander, DET

!W, +K

John Smoltz, ATL

+K, +ERA, +WHIP

Scott Kazmir, TB

!K

Roy Oswalt, HOU

+ERA,

Carlos Zambrano, CHC

+W, +K,

Felix Hernandez, SEA

Javier Vazquez, CWS

+W, !K, +WHIP

Chris Young, SD

+PARK, +ERA, !WHIP (17)

Daisuke Matsuzaka, BOS

+W, +K

Roy Halladay, TOR

+W

Fausto Carmona, CLE

!W, !ERA,

Yovani Gallardo, MIL

-K (14)

Kelvim Escobar, LAA

!W, +ERA

AJ Burnett, TOR

MED, +K, +WHIP

Tim Lincecum, SF

+PARK, -W, (12)

Rich Hill, CHC

+K, +WHIP

Brett Myers, PHI

-PARK, -W, -K (12)

James Shields, TB

+K, +WHIP

Pedro Martinez, NYM

MED, -W, -K, !ERA (4)

John Maine, NYM

+W, +K

Matt Cain, SF

+PARK, -W

Ben Sheets, MIL

-K

Brad Penny, LAD

+W, !ERA

Chad Billingsley, LAD

+ERA

Ted Lilly, CHC

+W, +K, +WHIP

Tim Hudson, ATL

+W,

Chien-Ming Wang, NYY

!W, -K

Jeff Francis, COL

-PARK, !W

Adam Wainwright, StL

Jered Weaver, LAA

Dustin McGowan, TOR

Francisco Liriano, MIN

MED, +PARK, No Stats in 2007

Ian Snell, PIT

+K

Jeremy Bonderman, DET

-ERA

Derek Lowe, LAD

Phil Hughes, NYY

-W, -K, (8)

Clay Buchholz, BOS

-W, -K, !ERA, !WHIP (4)

The rest of your rotation should primarily come from this list, but realize that even in Fantasy, back of the rotation guys are a crapshoot, so don’t reach.

Oliver Perez, NYM

Jon Garland, LAA

Carlos Villanueva, MIL

Kenny Rogers, DET

Mike Mussina, NYY

Ervin Santana, LAA

Dontrelle Willis, FLA

Chris Capuano, MIL

Andy Pettitte, NYY

Rich Harden, OAK

Bronson Arroyon, CIN

Barry Zito, SF

Randy Johnson, ARI

Freddy Garcia, PHI

Dave Bush, MIL

Josh Johnson, FLA

Chuck James, ATL

Jose Contreras, CHW

Nate Robertson, DET

Greg Maddux, SD

Jason Schmidt, LAD

Anibal Sanchez, FLA

Scott Olsen, FLA

Kevin Millwood, TEX

John Patterson, WAS

Jeff Suppan, MIL

Daniel Cabrera, BAL

Joe Blanton, OAK

Jason Jennings, HOU

Jake Westbrook, CLE

Cliff Lee, CLE

Zach Duke, PIT

Homer Bailey, CIN

Jon Lester, BOS

Tim Wakefield, BOS

Matt Garza, TB

Gil Meche, KC

As for closers, if you’re going to punt any statistical category in your draft, punt saves. You can always find closers on the waiver wire during the season and unless you have a stud, they’ll do just as well as a draft pick in the late teen rounds. Here are the studs:

Name, Team

Remarks

Jonathan Papelbon, BOS

+SV, +K, +ERA, !WHIP

JJ Putz, SEA

!SV, +K, !ERA, !WHIP

Joe Nathan, MIN

+PARK, +SV, +ERA, !WHIP

Francisco Rodrigues, LAA

!SV, +K

Takashi Saito, LAD

+SV, !ERA, !WHIP

Billy Wagner, NYM

+K, +WHIP

Mariano Rivera, NYY

-ERA, +WHIP

Bobby Jenks, CWS

!SV, -K, !WHIP

Francisco Cordero, CIN

-PARK, !SV, +K, +WHIP

Jose Valverde, HOU

!SV, +WHIP

Huston Street, OAK

!WHIP

Brad Lidge, PHI

-PARK, +K, -ERA

Matt Capps, PIT

!WHIP

Trevor Hoffman, SD

-PARK, !SV, -K, +WHIP

Manny Corpas, COL

-PARK, -K, +ERA, !WHIP

Joakim Soria, KC

!WHIP

Rafael Soriano, ATL

-SV, -ERA, !WHIP

Jason Isringhausen, StL

-K, !WHIP

Chad Cordero, WAS

+SV, -ERA,

Brett Myers, PHI

-PARK, +K, -ERA

Carlos Marmol, ChC

-SV, !K, !ERA, !WHIP

Kevin Gregg, FLA

+K, -ERA

Joe Borowski, CLE

!SV, -K, -ERA,

Eric Gagne, MIL

-K, -ERA, !WHIP

Chad Billingsley, LAD

-SV, +K, -ERA

Todd Jones, DET

+SV, -K, -ERA

In the keys below, some notes:

+/- PARK means different things to different folks. In the pitcher lists, +PARK is one of the top 3 pitchers parks For position players, +PARK is one of the top 3 hitters parks. Anyone with a ! can carry your team for a week or two in that category. –BA should be seen as the kiss of death. These guys are not starters for a contending fantasy team. You’re better off taking a flier on a rookie than drafting one of these siphons. Also note the difference between keys when dealing with Starters versus Relievers.

KEY

Numbers based on last years stats

MED

History of medical issues or coming off injury

+PARK

Park is a serious advantage (top 3)

-PARK

Park is a serious disadvantage (bottom 3)

For SP, the Key will be:

- + !

W <8 >15 >17

SV NA

K <110 >170 >210

ERA >4.60 <3.40 <3.10

WHIP >1.50 <1.20 <1.10

For RP, the Key will be:

- + !

W NA

SV <10 >35 >40

K <60 >80 >95

ERA >3.00 <2.15 <1.50

WHIP >1.50 <1.20 <1.10

No comments: