Super Bowl Pick:

Well we’ve reached Super Bowl weekend, and you know what that means: It’s your last chance to double your life savings by betting the farm that my prediction against the spread is dead wrong. Of course since the Titans aren’t in the Super Bowl, you aren’t guaranteed success, but still, the odds are on your side.

Again, Barstool Quarterback Aggregate Positional Rankings will be in order of:

Offense Rank + Defense Rank + Special Teams + Coaching = Total (Rank)

Giants (+12) over Patriots:

Before I get started, did you know that the Patriots have had four different guys lead the team in rushing and seven different guys lead the team in receiving in at least one game this year!? Amazing ball distribution by Brady and Josh McDaniels! How do you stop that? Well I guess 18-0 indicated that no one’s answered that yet. On to the analysis…

Everything points towards the Patriots just rolling over the Giants. Belichick destroys everyone the second time he sees them in a season. Plax Burress hasn’t practiced all week. Jeremy Shockey’s on IR. Vanilla 4 man rush teams (like the Giants and Jacksonville) can’t get to Brady enough to stop the Pats passing attack. The weather is going to be beautiful and we all know what the Pats were doing in fair weather through the first 10 games. I could go on forever, but one thing keeps me coming back to the Giants: we just watched this game last month! The Giants lost by 3 IN FOXBORO! Listen, I still think the Pats will win, and I think it’ll be by more than 3, but we haven’t seen the Pats embarrass anyone since December 9^th when they decided to remind Anthony Smith that he’s, well… Anthony Smith. I keep hoping that Aaron Ross will come out and guarantee victory so that I could feel comfortable with the knowledge that the Pats were about to drop half a hundred on the Giants, but until that happens, I’m going to worry just a little.

BSQ APR:

Giants: 8+9+12+11=40 (12)

Patriots: 1+1+1+1=4 (1)

That’s right the worst team entering the playoffs versus the best. If Vegas had set a line in a Patriots versus Giants Super Bowl after week 16, what would it have been? Twenty-two points…at least?

Let’s do some prop bets!

No Brainers:

Vegas is offering odds on where exactly the total combined points will lie:
64-70: 11/2
71-77: 10/1
78+: 9/1
I would put money on any/all of these. These teams put up 73 combined points in single digit temperatures in windy Foxboro. You think they can’t match that in beautiful Arizona? Especially if they close the roof?

Giants win by 1-6 points: 5/1
Seriously, the Giants do have a chance in this game, but they aren’t going to blow the Pats out. At 5-1 odds, this could make you a nice chunk of change if the Giants pull the upset.

Not for the faint of heart:

Giants total team points: Under 21.5 points (EVEN)
I see this as being a close game, but if the Pats jump out to a 2 or 3 score lead early, this one could get ugly in a hurry, and do you trust Eli to not throw 3 or 4 picks if they put him in an early hole? I’d strongly consider taking this under.

Last score of the game will be a:
Touchdown: (-180)
Field Goal or Safety: (+150)
Knowing Patriots history, you’d think FG for sure, but this isn’t just any Patriots offense. It’s going to take TDs to win this one.

No Turnovers in the game: (+700)
Now this is intriguing. You’ve got to have a set of brass ones to make this bet, but it’s not totally crazy, and the payoff is impressive.

You have a problem. Get therapy:

Total combined points:
0 - 7 Points 60/1
8 - 14 Points 45/1
15 - 21 Points 30/1
22 - 28 Points 20/1
If you bet any of these, you’d better start praying that Brady, Moss and Manning all suffer catastrophic injuries in the first quarter.

First missed field goal will be:
Wide Right: (-105)
Wide Left: (-125)
These are two pretty good kickers, and I don’t see either team settling for many field goals.

Times the telecast cuts to Archie Manning:
Over 4.5 (-170)
Under 4.5 (+130)
I’ll take the under, but seriously, who cares?

Team to win the opening coin toss:
Patriots: (-103)
Giants: (-103)
Uh, it’s a coin toss. You could make this bet with the guy sitting next to you for even money.

How long will it take Jordin Sparks to sing the National Anthem:
Over 1m42s (-120)
Under 1m42s (-110)
Now you’re scaring me, I can’t advocate this kind of bet with a selection of my own.