Week 16 NFL Picks

Week 16 NFL Picks Against the Spread (HOME teams in caps)

PANTHERS (+10.5) over Cowboys:
Romo’s injured thumb gave him all kinds of trouble last week against the Eagles. You don’t see too many one dimensional teams dole out 11 point whippings.

Packers (-8.5) over BEARS:
I know this is a ‘throw out the records’ type of game. Ok, I’ll ignore the records and take the Packers because they have an immeasurably better quarterback, an improving running game, and a secondary which will allow them to put 8 in the box while playing Man on the outside. As long as the Packers don’t kick to Hester, this is a double digit win for Green Bay.

Browns (-3) over BENGALS:
Looking at the records, you’d think this is a no-brainer, right? Well let’s see. The Browns are only 3-4 on the road. Of course the Bengals are only 4-3 at home, and they’re coming off a loss to one of the two or three worst teams in the NFL in the 49ers. Alright, so it is a no-brainer after all. Though it ought to be exciting to watch if these two teams can put up the kind of numbers they did in their first meeting.

Dolphins (+22) over PATRIOTS:
I refuse to justify this game with a breakdown. Suffice it to say that the Fins should have to play LSU just to earn the privilege of being in the same state as the Patriots.

COLTS (-7) over Texans:
I know the Colts like to rest their players at the end of the season, but the Texans just aren’t any good, and the lack of big play ability from their running back corps makes them pretty one dimensional on offense forcing them to rely far too heavily on… checking my notes…Sage Rosenfels. Ugh. I’d take the Colts by 27 at home here.

Chiefs (+5) over LIONS:
I’d rather make naked snow angels face down in a box of broken glass than watch this game.

VIKINGS (-6.5) over Redskins:
Will Tavaris Jackson be the worst ever to play in the playoffs? If you can think of anyone worse, I beg you to let me know.

SAINTS (-3) over Eagles:
T-minus 8 days til the NFL hot stove league begins with the biggest question (Non Darren McFadden class) will be where will Donovan McNabb be playing next season.

BILLS (+3) over Giants:
The Giants will lose for three reasons.
Eli Manning is their Quarterback…
On the road in inclimate weather…
With Kevin Everett miraculously watching the game from the Bills sideline.

JAGUARS (-13) over Raiders:
What’s there to say about this game? The Jags are the 5th best team in the NFL, and the Raiders are …the Raiders.

Jets (+8.5) over TITANS:
Down to my last two chances to correctly pick a Titans game this year.

Bucaneers (-6) over 49ERS:
Breaking news: The 49ers are bad. Really really bad…

CARDINALS (-10) over Falcons:
And so are the Falcons.

Ravens (+10.5) over SEAHAWKS:
Just kidding.

SEAHAWKS (-10.5) over Ravens:
The Ravens score less than the Raiders AND allow more points. Scary.

CHARGERS (-8.5) over Broncos:
The only team in the AFC that has allowed more points than the Broncos is the Dolphins…by 4 points. The Broncos are 2-5 on the road. Then again…Norv Turner…

Broncos (+8.5) over CHARGERS:
Norv Turner.

Last Week: 4-10 ATS Ugh.